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2024 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

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Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.81	-15.6	-1.3	1872	-0.6	33.6	-34.2	1.05	0.4	-1.0	-0.6%	17.4%	-18.0%	.91	-0.8%	-0.8	0.3	0.95	9.7	56	28	67
Atlanta Braves	3.70	34.0	3.9	1687	5.2	31.0	-25.8	1.01	5.8	-0.7	3.5%	21.3%	-17.7%	1.16	-0.4%	52.3	5.9	0.92	65.8	47	31	59
Baltimore Orioles	3.76	18.5	2.1	1732	5.1	33.0	-27.9	1.06	4.4	0.3	3.7%	22.3%	-18.6%	1.19	0.5%	44.5	5.1	0.91	44.0	60	39	62
Boston Red Sox	3.73	46.4	5.1	1836	4.2	33.6	-29.4	1.05	5.5	-1.5	2.3%	19.4%	-17.1%	1.01	-1.0%	52.1	5.6	0.92	64.9	57	41	53
Chicago Cubs	4.25	20.2	2.9	1891	3.8	36.4	-32.6	1.09	3.6	-0.1	2.5%	24.1%	-21.6%	1.20	-0.1%	24.9	3.5	0.95	31.3	60	30	61
Chicago White Sox	5.02	-27.4	-2.6	1894	-2.1	31.3	-33.5	.98	-2.2	0.1	-0.4%	6.1%	-6.6%	.32	0.0%	-23.6	-2.1	0.94	-25.7	57	42	65
Cincinnati Reds	4.30	14.9	1.6	1833	0.2	29.1	-28.9	.94	1.5	-1.3	0.1%	14.9%	-14.8%	.81	-0.8%	17.9	1.9	0.94	21.1	47	38	63
Cleveland Guardians	3.54	32.1	3.6	1853	5.5	35.5	-30.0	1.05	4.3	0.9	4.0%	25.5%	-21.5%	1.25	0.6%	53.2	5.9	0.93	48.5	70	38	69
Colorado Rockies	5.54	-25.8	-2.2	1852	-3.5	27.8	-31.3	.92	-2.4	-1.4	-1.6%	7.0%	-8.6%	.40	-2.9%	-31.8	-2.6	0.96	-18.9	37	30	67
Detroit Tigers	3.91	27.2	3.1	1781	2.9	33.3	-30.4	1.04	4.7	-1.9	1.8%	20.5%	-18.7%	1.07	-1.1%	37.9	4.2	0.93	55.4	60	30	48
Houston Astros	4.81	-33.2	-2.8	1923	-0.1	31.6	-31.7	.96	-0.7	0.6	-0.4%	11.3%	-11.7%	.58	-0.3%	-8.9	-0.3	0.97	-4.4	45	37	73
Kansas City Royals	3.45	37.7	4.3	1839	6.3	34.0	-27.7	1.01	4.6	1.6	4.0%	21.9%	-17.9%	1.09	1.0%	52.9	5.9	0.94	50.7	51	38	58
Los Angeles Angels	5.00	-20.0	-1.9	1911	-0.9	28.8	-29.7	.87	0.2	-1.3	-0.7%	11.9%	-12.6%	.60	-1.2%	-12.1	-0.9	0.93	4.1	36	30	81
Los Angeles Dodgers	3.44	50.9	5.3	1895	6.7	32.2	-25.5	.93	7.3	-0.1	4.7%	22.6%	-17.9%	1.08	-0.1%	71.5	7.6	0.90	80.4	50	41	64
Miami Marlins	5.47	-30.9	-2.6	2011	-2.5	31.7	-34.3	.97	-0.5	-2.1	-1.1%	6.9%	-8.0%	.36	-2.8%	-29.5	-2.3	0.98	-8.8	50	39	78
Milwaukee Brewers	4.26	8.6	1.2	1850	3.3	32.2	-28.9	1.01	1.4	1.8	2.3%	22.4%	-20.1%	1.17	1.2%	18.1	2.3	0.96	9.2	53	40	63
Minnesota Twins	4.53	-15.0	-1.3	1812	1.0	29.1	-28.1	.92	1.9	-0.9	0.3%	16.8%	-16.4%	.89	-0.8%	2.9	0.6	0.92	19.2	52	33	61
New York Mets	4.57	-6.8	-0.4	1916	1.6	36.4	-34.8	1.15	1.7	-0.3	0.8%	18.7%	-17.9%	.98	-0.1%	11.8	1.6	0.99	22.3	71	31	57
New York Yankees	3.24	53.7	5.7	1879	7.2	36.5	-29.2	1.09	5.2	1.5	5.0%	25.6%	-20.5%	1.27	0.8%	69.7	7.5	0.95	56.4	54	33	55
Oakland Athletics	4.90	-30.1	-2.8	1908	0.1	29.1	-29.0	.88	-1.7	1.8	-0.3%	13.1%	-13.4%	.67	0.8%	-26.6	-2.4	0.98	-22.5	40	40	68
Philadelphia Phillies	3.67	40.8	4.6	1856	6.9	34.1	-27.2	1.02	6.0	0.7	4.4%	21.5%	-17.2%	1.07	0.4%	54.2	6.1	0.93	68.2	59	25	59
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.31	7.3	0.9	1864	2.9	34.7	-31.8	1.07	1.7	1.0	1.4%	19.4%	-17.9%	1.00	0.4%	18.8	2.1	0.94	23.8	65	29	53
San Diego Padres	4.34	-3.9	-0.1	1916	0.5	29.5	-29.0	.88	2.1	-1.6	0.2%	17.0%	-16.8%	.85	-1.0%	14.1	1.8	0.93	25.8	44	38	81
Seattle Mariners	3.75	13.5	1.5	1781	2.8	28.2	-25.4	.90	4.5	-1.4	1.4%	16.7%	-15.3%	.90	-1.1%	32.9	3.7	0.90	44.8	41	27	76
San Francisco Giants	4.69	-24.0	-1.8	1893	2.0	29.6	-27.6	.91	0.6	1.6	0.7%	14.6%	-13.8%	.75	0.6%	-4.9	0.3	0.96	1.6	37	49	75
St. Louis Cardinals	4.83	-15.0	-1.3	1819	0.3	31.1	-30.8	.98	-0.3	0.6	0.1%	14.5%	-14.4%	.76	0.3%	-7.0	-0.5	0.95	-1.9	45	46	58
Tampa Bay Rays	4.73	-23.2	-2.2	1929	2.4	34.8	-32.5	1.05	1.3	1.0	1.1%	17.8%	-16.8%	.90	0.4%	0.9	0.3	0.92	10.5	72	33	50
Texas Rangers	4.46	-7.6	-0.2	1874	4.0	34.2	-30.2	1.04	4.1	-0.3	2.2%	21.3%	-19.1%	1.09	-0.4%	14.5	2.3	0.94	41.0	60	28	54
Toronto Blue Jays	4.63	-19.6	-1.7	1774	0.9	28.9	-27.9	.91	-1.1	2.1	0.4%	14.5%	-14.1%	.77	1.1%	-9.4	-0.6	0.95	-16.6	32	42	79
Washington Nationals	4.30	3.5	0.7	1800	0.6	31.2	-30.6	1.00	1.2	-0.6	0.0%	15.6%	-15.6%	.84	-0.6%	16.0	2.0	0.96	15.4	52	43	71
League Average	4.33	4	1	1856	2	32	-30	.99	2	0	1%	17%	-16%	.89	0%	17	2	0	24	52	36	64
	4.33	111.1	21.3	55681	66.6	962.2	-895.7	.99	65.3	1.8	42.1%	522.6%	-480.6%	.89	8.3%	506.3	64.8	0.94	715.2	1560	1069	1928
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo