2024 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

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Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.60	-3.5	-0.1	1635	0.0	30.1	-30.1	1.07	0.9	-0.9	-0.2%	15.9%	-16.1%	.95	-0.7%	9.2	1.2	0.95	14.1	52	25	60
Atlanta Braves	3.63	31.7	3.5	1443	5.4	28.1	-22.7	1.06	5.7	-0.7	3.6%	19.3%	-15.6%	1.21	-0.4%	47.8	5.3	0.92	62.7	45	27	47
Baltimore Orioles	3.80	18.0	2.0	1540	4.9	29.8	-24.9	1.08	3.9	0.6	3.6%	20.1%	-16.4%	1.20	0.6%	39.6	4.5	0.90	39.4	55	33	55
Boston Red Sox	3.51	47.8	5.2	1560	4.1	28.4	-24.4	1.04	5.2	-1.3	2.2%	16.7%	-14.5%	1.02	-1.0%	51.3	5.4	0.91	61.6	47	38	44
Chicago Cubs	4.26	15.8	2.4	1656	3.3	33.0	-29.6	1.14	3.2	-0.3	2.2%	21.6%	-19.4%	1.24	-0.2%	20.9	2.9	0.95	28.0	57	27	52
Chicago White Sox	5.10	-22.5	-2.1	1622	-1.6	27.7	-29.3	1.01	-1.8	0.3	-0.4%	5.9%	-6.3%	.36	-0.1%	-22.3	-2.0	0.94	-22.5	55	36	54
Cincinnati Reds	4.44	7.6	0.9	1618	-0.3	25.3	-25.7	.94	0.4	-0.7	-0.1%	13.6%	-13.7%	.84	-0.3%	9.9	1.1	0.95	8.6	42	33	56
Cleveland Guardians	3.64	25.5	2.9	1639	4.1	31.1	-27.0	1.05	3.5	0.4	2.9%	22.0%	-19.1%	1.24	0.3%	43.3	4.9	0.94	40.8	63	32	63
Colorado Rockies	5.46	-17.4	-1.4	1648	-2.9	25.2	-28.1	.93	-1.6	-1.5	-1.5%	6.6%	-8.1%	.42	-2.8%	-21.9	-1.7	0.95	-11.2	37	24	57
Detroit Tigers	4.00	22.2	2.5	1564	2.5	30.4	-27.9	1.09	3.7	-1.4	1.5%	19.0%	-17.4%	1.13	-0.8%	29.6	3.2	0.93	42.6	57	26	39
Houston Astros	5.07	-36.9	-3.2	1658	-1.1	26.7	-27.8	.95	-1.9	0.7	-0.7%	9.6%	-10.3%	.58	-0.1%	-19.2	-1.3	0.98	-18.9	38	33	65
Kansas City Royals	3.51	30.8	3.5	1618	4.9	30.0	-25.1	1.03	4.0	0.7	3.0%	19.1%	-16.1%	1.09	0.4%	44.0	5.0	0.95	46.2	48	32	51
Los Angeles Angels	5.17	-23.5	-2.2	1660	-2.3	23.7	-26.1	.83	-0.5	-2.3	-1.0%	10.8%	-11.8%	.63	-1.2%	-20.7	-1.8	0.94	-2.5	29	24	75
Los Angeles Dodgers	3.49	42.2	4.5	1630	5.1	27.4	-22.4	.93	6.3	-0.8	3.5%	19.2%	-15.6%	1.08	-0.5%	59.3	6.4	0.90	69.2	44	37	55
Miami Marlins	5.81	-40.8	-3.6	1767	-4.8	26.7	-31.5	.95	-1.6	-3.5	-1.2%	6.6%	-7.9%	.39	-2.0%	-43.7	-3.6	0.98	-23.5	42	33	71
Milwaukee Brewers	4.29	7.1	1.0	1618	3.0	27.9	-24.9	1.00	1.2	1.8	2.1%	19.3%	-17.2%	1.15	1.1%	15.6	2.1	0.96	10.4	45	32	57
Minnesota Twins	4.20	2.1	0.4	1535	2.5	26.4	-23.9	.98	2.9	-0.3	1.4%	14.8%	-13.4%	.91	-0.2%	17.6	2.1	0.92	31.4	49	32	47
New York Mets	4.30	5.1	0.8	1627	2.2	31.3	-29.0	1.16	2.1	-0.2	1.1%	16.6%	-15.5%	1.02	-0.2%	20.5	2.5	0.99	25.9	61	28	47
New York Yankees	3.52	36.3	3.9	1627	5.9	32.2	-26.2	1.12	3.2	2.1	4.1%	22.6%	-18.5%	1.30	1.2%	48.0	5.1	0.96	33.6	52	27	48
Oakland Athletics	4.84	-22.0	-2.0	1691	0.8	26.5	-25.7	.89	-1.5	2.3	-0.1%	12.2%	-12.3%	.70	0.8%	-20.4	-1.8	0.98	-19.5	38	33	59
Philadelphia Phillies	3.69	32.6	3.8	1620	5.8	29.1	-23.3	1.00	5.1	0.7	3.6%	18.3%	-14.7%	1.05	0.4%	43.8	5.1	0.93	56.7	51	23	54
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.36	6.4	0.8	1650	2.0	30.6	-28.6	1.08	1.2	0.6	1.0%	17.5%	-16.5%	1.03	0.2%	15.5	1.8	0.95	19.2	57	29	47
San Diego Padres	4.39	-3.9	-0.1	1692	0.1	26.4	-26.4	.91	1.6	-1.5	0.0%	15.3%	-15.3%	.88	-1.0%	10.1	1.4	0.92	19.8	39	37	70
Seattle Mariners	3.62	19.9	2.2	1553	2.8	24.6	-21.8	.90	4.4	-1.2	1.5%	14.4%	-12.9%	.88	-0.9%	35.2	4.0	0.89	45.9	33	26	66
San Francisco Giants	4.74	-23.4	-1.8	1688	1.5	26.4	-24.9	.92	0.7	0.9	0.5%	13.2%	-12.7%	.77	0.3%	-6.9	0.0	0.95	1.1	35	36	70
St. Louis Cardinals	4.68	-7.2	-0.4	1575	0.2	26.9	-26.7	.98	0.6	-0.5	0.0%	13.0%	-13.0%	.79	-0.3%	0.1	0.3	0.94	8.8	37	42	50
Tampa Bay Rays	4.81	-21.7	-2.0	1672	1.0	29.0	-28.0	1.02	0.4	0.6	0.4%	14.9%	-14.5%	.88	0.2%	-3.4	-0.1	0.93	2.2	55	30	46
Texas Rangers	4.47	-5.4	-0.1	1659	2.8	29.9	-27.0	1.03	3.5	-0.8	1.5%	18.7%	-17.2%	1.08	-0.7%	7.9	1.5	0.94	33.2	54	25	46
Toronto Blue Jays	4.78	-21.4	-1.9	1576	1.0	24.6	-23.6	.88	-1.3	2.4	0.5%	13.0%	-12.5%	.77	1.4%	-14.6	-1.1	0.95	-18.1	24	41	69
Washington Nationals	4.28	5.1	0.9	1543	1.2	27.2	-26.1	1.01	1.2	-0.1	0.3%	13.8%	-13.5%	.86	-0.4%	15.4	2.0	0.96	14.8	46	38	59
League Average	4.35	4	1	1619	2	28	-26	1.00	2	-0	1%	15%	-14%	.91	0%	14	2	0	20	46	31	56
	4.35	106.7	20.2	48584	53.9	842.8	-788.9	1.00	54.9	-0.9	35.5%	463.6%	-428.2%	.91	6.1%	411.6	54.4	0.94	599.7	1387	939	1679
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo